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Article #129: Identifying US Coins with Bullish Futures

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Okay, let's get something straight... I the market price for the same coin 5-10
do not advocate the purchase of United years ago. While you're at it, get
States coins strictly for investment something from 20-30 years or more in the
purposes. Like most traditional past, too. The more good data researched,
collectors, I believe coins are to be the more reliable will be your final
primarily appreciated for their artistic conclusions. Now whip out your
beauty, historical connections, and the spreadsheet and chart the numbers, or
joy of pursuing them. However, it should compute annualized rates of return. Flat
be no secret that a significant number of or negative trends are bad. Positive
us do add to our numismatic holdings trends are good. Steep positive trends
while simultaneously peeking at the are best. Any coin displaying a proven
payback angle, too. annualized growth pattern of at least
In truth, there are probably substantial 5-10% over a span of many years qualifies
numbers of traditional collectors who as an attractive option for the collector
prefer to acquire coins destined to desiring coins headed for much higher
increase in esteem and value over time; price levels a few years down the road.
treasured heirlooms and a source of pride During the course of my lengthy
to be passed from one generation to the numismatic career, I've researched the
next. On the flip side of this equation, long term value trends of most
it seems implausible that anyone would collectible US coins. Thanks to my trusty
buy a coin with the hope or expectation computer, I've calculated annualized
to see it stagnate or decrease in value. compounded percentage return rates and
Indeed, any commentator who suggests the honed in on a handful of coins that have
words "investment" and "coins" should consistently beaten the overall coin
never appear in close proximity to one market averages. Unfortunately, the
another is ignoring a heavily populated blue-chippers are scarcely encountered.
segment of our hobby. Perhaps it is this fact that explains why
Now that we've established that it's not so many well-intentioned hobby purists
numismatic heresy to seek coins with scorn the idea of blending coin
strong upside possibilities, let's get collecting with the profit motive.
down to basics. The guiding principle is Individuals whose objective is to satisfy
simple: Any coin that has demonstrated their numismatic pleasure by assembling a
solid, consistent gains over a long collection certain to be the envy of
period of time is likely to show tomorrow's collectors must do their
continued growth in the years ahead. homework today. Remember to research
Easily said, but as we shall soon see, historic value trends and evaluate growth
not so easily put into practice. potential based on previous performance.
So exactly how does a one identify coins One last word of advice... never loose
with a potentially bullish future? The sight of the fact that you are handling
best clues are revealed by analyzing the artifacts of America's past, and that all
retail value trends over a long period of of us are merely their temporary
time for a given coin. Observing current custodians. Respect these coins and the
prices alone does not yield enough history they represent, and you'll always
information to correctly evaluate discover new avenues of adventure not
prospective price movements. What was the found in most other investment
coin selling for two or three years ago opportunities.
compared to today? Dig deeper, and find






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